Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:44:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb0f…0b02
crypto · 36 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$110 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$131 · open +$33
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$116
Realized−$131
Unrealized+$33
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses11 / 24
Open positions1
Markets (closed)35 / 36
History coverage1d
Avg bet$277
Trades / day3465.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$131
7 days−$131
14 days−$131
30 days−$131
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 84¢ 58¢ $93 $65 −$28 (-30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 14¢ 42¢ $18 $51 +$33 (+190%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $130 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $233 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $266 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $253 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $268 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $269 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $451 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $287 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $123 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $210 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $329 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $149 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $255 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $206 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $170 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $158 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $177 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $141 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $230 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $197 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $531 −$74 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $335 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $206 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $255 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $324 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $233 −$10 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $135 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $165 +$20 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $448 −$34 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $653 −$11 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $250 −$18 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $557 −$15 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $333 −$19 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $395 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $433 +$43 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $2 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -0.8% -10.2% 31% 3% -10.7%
≤30d 35 -0.8% -10.2% 31% 3% -10.7%
≤90d 35 -0.8% -10.2% 31% 3% -10.7%
all 35 -0.8% -10.2% 31% 3% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3465.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 3% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 0% -19.3%
15% -26.7% 0% -27.1%
20% -33.8% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $115.87 · official $156.06 · 3500 history records