Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:06:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FB 0xfb00…7fe9 crypto 200 markets active 14h ago coverage 129d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$5,959 (-13%) realized −$5,959 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate44%87W / 113L
Whale WR41%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$236per market
Trades / day12.1pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$234
7 days−$511
14 days−$625
30 days−$625
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 85% −$5,881
world 13% −$12
other 2% −$345
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -17.2% -25.1% 39% 37% -20.6%
≤30d 95 -18.4% -26.2% 39% 36% -22.1%
≤90d 149 -6.6% -15.5% 44% 42% -20.7%
all 200 -7.5% -16.3% 44% 41% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.3% 41% -21.5%
10% -24.3% 41% -29.0%
15% -31.6% 40% -35.9%
20% -38.3% 40% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 41% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +8% → late -22% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
5.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$190 vs −$202 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

129d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,959
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses87 / 113
Whale WR (big bets)41%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)200 / 200
History coverage129d
Avg bet$236
Trades / day12.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 200 Trades
no open positions (51 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $153 −$147 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $97 −$94 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $77 +$94 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $44 +$56 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$17 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$20 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $45 +$55 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $47 +$53 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $157 +$153 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $78 +$79 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $44 +$46 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $41 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$20 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $112 +$102 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $33 −$32 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $36 +$36 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$18 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$9 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $112 −$112 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $24 +$24 +100%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $360 −$360 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$16 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$7 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$12 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $34 +$36 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$25 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $25 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $74 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $11 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $11 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $137 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $97 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $15 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1685 history records