trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $55 | $55 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $61 | −$5 | -8% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 12 | $401 | −$341 | -85% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 12 | $796 | −$72 | -9% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 24 | $100 | −$88 | -88% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of | Apr 16 | $100 | +$38 | +38% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 12 | $101 | +$42 | +41% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 12 | $100 | +$41 | +41% |
| Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Oct 27 | $517 | −$288 | -56% |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Oct 27 | $193 | +$75 | +39% |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Oct 25 | $50 | −$2 | -4% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -46.6% | -51.7% | 0% | 0% | -77.2% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -46.6% | -51.7% | 0% | 0% | -77.2% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -10.0% | -18.6% | 43% | 43% | -30.5% |
| all | 10 | -9.1% | -17.7% | 40% | 40% | -32.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.7% | 40% | -32.0% |
| 10% | -25.6% | 40% | -38.5% |
| 15% | -32.8% | 40% | -44.4% |
| 20% | -39.4% | 0% | -49.9% |