Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:53:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfaee…ea35
crypto · 830 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$96 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$83 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized−$83
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses333 / 494
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)827 / 830
History coverage153d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day11.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 827 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? No 50¢ 80¢ $20 $32 +$12 (+61%)
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? Yes 50¢ 20¢ $20 $8 −$12 (-61%)
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes 53¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Anthropic CEO arrested? Yes 5¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 09 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 09 $11 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 08 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 08 $11 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 08 $11 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$3 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 06 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 04 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 04 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 03 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 02 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 02 $4 $0 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$37
world 6% −$57
finance 2% $0
sports 1% +$5
other 1% −$4
politics 1% −$1
culture 0% $0
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-26.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -21.2% -28.7% 50% 47% -7.1%
≤30d 169 -39.6% -45.4% 44% 36% -12.6%
≤90d 406 -47.3% -52.3% 35% 28% -20.4%
all 827 -19.0% -26.7% 40% 23% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.7% 23% -10.8%
10% -33.7% 14% -19.3%
15% -40.1% 6% -27.1%
20% -46.0% 4% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.56 · official $41.56 (match) · 3500 history records