Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:16:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfab6…8d16
crypto · 95 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$400 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$383 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized+$383
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses36 / 56
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions3
Markets (closed)92 / 95
History coverage58d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 3 History 92 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$158
7 days+$39
14 days+$184
30 days+$470
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 Yes 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 +$23 +442%
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -98%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $49 +$51 +104%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $73 +$67 +91%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $18 +$32 +172%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$41 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$28 -96%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $14 +$45 +312%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $23 −$22 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $24 +$36 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $92 +$28 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $203 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$12 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $304 +$30 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 09 $41 +$35 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 09 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 09 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $102 +$28 +28%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $40 −$39 -98%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 Jun 09 $16 −$16 -98%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 Jun 09 $47 +$46 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 08 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$7 +676%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 08 $22 +$25 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $23 −$22 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 08 $41 +$10 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 08 $25 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 08 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 08 $173 +$63 +36%
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 08 $21 −$21 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% −$196
sports 27% +$599
other 5% −$18
politics 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $28 1h
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 100¢ $140 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 16h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 39h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 49¢ $49 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $12 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $22 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $6 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $6 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $4 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $35 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $21 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $25 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +3.1% -6.7% 44% 40% -5.5%
≤30d 67 +2.0% -7.7% 45% 42% +9.6%
≤90d 92 -10.6% -19.1% 39% 37% +5.4%
all 92 -10.6% -19.1% 39% 37% +5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.1% 37% +5.4%
10% -26.8% 35% -4.7%
15% -33.9% 30% -13.9%
20% -40.4% 28% -22.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.17 · official $34.17 (match) · 260 history records