Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:47:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfaae…232d
crypto · 94 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$89 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$88
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses58 / 35
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)93 / 94
History coverage2d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day945.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$91
7 days−$88
14 days−$88
30 days−$88
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$6 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$15 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$14 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$37 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$26 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$10 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$11 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$6 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$27 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$17 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $44 −$12 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$4 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $88 −$51 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$13 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$8 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -29%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$18 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $155 −$155 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $66 +$23 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $205 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $107 −$105 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $118 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $74 −$62 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $74 −$70 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $245 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $49 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $161 +$46 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $39 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $63 +$26 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$55
sports 7% −$46
other 1% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $3 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -4.9% -14.0% 62% 51% -10.7%
≤30d 93 -4.9% -14.0% 62% 51% -10.7%
≤90d 93 -4.9% -14.0% 62% 51% -10.7%
all 93 -4.9% -14.0% 62% 51% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover945.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 51% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 32% -19.3%
15% -29.7% 20% -27.1%
20% -36.6% 12% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2318 history records