Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:18:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
FA 0xfaa1…cc1b crypto 1751 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL +$766 (+4%) realized +$1,561 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate67%1164W / 564L
Drawdown27%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day77.9pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64
7 days−$56
14 days+$1,162
30 days+$1,561
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,651
other 0% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 388 -0.3% -9.8% 59% 59% -18.3%
≤30d 1728 +0.2% -9.3% 67% 46% -2.2%
≤90d 1728 +0.2% -9.3% 67% 46% -2.2%
all 1728 +0.2% -9.3% 67% 46% -2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover77.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 46% -2.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 43% -11.5%
15% -25.9% 40% -20.1%
20% -33.2% 35% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
29% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$11 · ×0.6 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.25 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,561
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses1164 / 564
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1728 / 1751
History coverage30d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day77.9
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1728 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +76%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +57%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 35m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 54m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 55m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 59m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records