Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:45:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfa7c…9e02
sports · 755 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$46 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$50
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses382 / 354
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions18
Markets (closed)736 / 755
History coverage100d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day19.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 18 History 736 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$119
14 days−$130
30 days−$133
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 84¢ $9 $14 +$5 (+54%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $9 $8 −$0 (-3%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 28¢ 31¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+11%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 48¢ 69¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+44%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 51¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Under 40¢ 40¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Under 79¢ 92¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+17%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Under 91¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Boyer vs. Izquierdo: Match O/U 21.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $17 −$12 -71%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 -7%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $61 −$28 -46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -86%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -49%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -70%
Zhang vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $2 −$1 -44%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Zhang vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Shevchenko vs. Mrva: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Shevchenko vs. Mrva: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +111%
Boyer vs. Izquierdo: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +158%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +34%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 -14%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +55%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +53%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 -16%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $4 +$1 +20%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $8 +$3 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +27%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +17%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +41%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 +17%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +32%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 -13%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +24%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$26
other 11% −$13
crypto 3% −$6
weather 1% −$10
world 0% +$5
culture 0% +$5
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 10¢ $5 4m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 67¢ $1 18m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $3 24m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $3 25m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 45¢ $3 56m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $6 58m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $3 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $3 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $6 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 30¢ $16 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 37¢ $4 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 30¢ $16 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 3¢ $0 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 21¢ $1 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL No 54¢ $1 4h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on SELL Yes 57¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $56 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 58¢ $1 5h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 90¢ $2 5h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? SELL Yes 22¢ $1 5h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 5h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 61¢ $1 7h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 14¢ $0 7h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 46¢ $1 7h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 7h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 3¢ $0 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 9¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 291 -5.2% -14.3% 46% 45% -20.3%
≤30d 401 -4.7% -13.8% 46% 44% -16.7%
≤90d 600 -4.1% -13.3% 48% 46% -16.0%
all 736 -0.9% -10.3% 52% 49% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 49% -10.3%
10% -18.9% 41% -18.9%
15% -26.7% 31% -26.8%
20% -33.9% 22% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.71 · official $50.69 · 2575 history records