trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 75% | 75% | -28.8% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +10.8% | +0.2% | 62% | 50% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +10.8% | +0.2% | 62% | 50% | -10.1% |
| all | 11 | +8.4% | -1.9% | 64% | 36% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.9% | 36% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -11.3% | 27% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -19.9% | 9% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -27.7% | 9% | -33.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $91 | +$24 | +26% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $1,146 | −$1,057 | -92% |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $1,012 | +$134 | +13% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $756 | +$258 | +34% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1,207 | −$29 | -2% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $609 | +$639 | +105% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $590 | +$42 | +7% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $1,046 | −$53 | -5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Mar 04 | $1,045 | −$24 | -2% |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison? | Feb 19 | $2,001 | +$78 | +4% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 15 | $999 | +$46 | +5% |