Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:57:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfa75…6ec2
crypto · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$173 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$173 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$173
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses3 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage4d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day10.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$173
7 days−$173
14 days−$173
30 days−$173
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$43 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $99 −$44 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $284 −$66 -23%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? Jun 12 $100 +$50 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $227 −$46 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$37 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$19 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $128 −$55 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $63 +$21 +34%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $50 −$8 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$215
other 14% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $43 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $44 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $82 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $82 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $92 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $92 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $57 1h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? SELL Yes 14¢ $111 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $64 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $64 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $18 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-30.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -23.6% -30.9% 27% 27% -23.1%
≤30d 11 -23.6% -30.9% 27% 27% -23.1%
≤90d 11 -23.6% -30.9% 27% 27% -23.1%
all 11 -23.6% -30.9% 27% 27% -23.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.9% 27% -23.1%
10% -37.5% 27% -30.5%
15% -43.5% 18% -37.2%
20% -49.1% 9% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 50 history records