trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 12 | $25 | +$14 | +58% |
| Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26? | May 26 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 26 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-17? | May 15 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 15 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |
| World Championships: USA vs. Switzerland | May 15 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-05-15? | May 15 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15? | May 15 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | May 09 | $20 | +$10 | +52% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 05 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $5 | +$3 | +62% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | May 02 | $3 | +$4 | +146% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | May 01 | $5 | +$3 | +70% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 30 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 30 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 30 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 29 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first roun | Apr 29 | $10 | +$3 | +34% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 29 | $3 | +$11 | +365% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 29 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit? | Apr 29 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit? | Apr 29 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit? | Apr 29 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 28 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 26 | $3 | +$2 | +52% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 26 | $5 | +$8 | +152% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $5 | +$5 | +97% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 25 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $3 | +$8 | +262% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 24 | $5 | +$4 | +90% |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? | Apr 24 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22? | Apr 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 24 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? | Apr 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 24 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score | Apr 23 | $3 | +$4 | +146% |
| Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score | Apr 22 | $3 | +$2 | +79% |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-21? | Apr 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21? | Apr 22 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? | Apr 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21? | Apr 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets | Apr 22 | $5 | −$4 | -78% |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals | Apr 22 | $5 | −$3 | -60% |
| Senators vs. Hurricanes | Apr 21 | $20 | +$13 | +67% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +57.5% | +42.5% | 100% | 100% | +42.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -80.3% | -82.2% | 12% | 12% | -31.5% |
| ≤90d | 103 | -19.9% | -27.5% | 38% | 38% | -25.9% |
| all | 115 | -9.5% | -18.1% | 42% | 42% | -19.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.1% | 42% | -19.1% |
| 10% | -26.0% | 42% | -26.9% |
| 15% | -33.1% | 39% | -33.9% |
| 20% | -39.7% | 34% | -40.4% |