Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfa5a…c259
crypto · 52 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses47 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 52
History coverage19d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 27 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 27 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +0.1% -9.4% 78% 57% -9.3%
≤30d 52 +0.7% -8.9% 90% 25% -8.8%
≤90d 52 +0.7% -8.9% 90% 25% -8.8%
all 52 +0.7% -8.9% 90% 25% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.9% 25% -8.8%
10% -17.6% 15% -17.6%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.5%
20% -32.9% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 102 history records