Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:32:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfa59…d4ce
sports · 80 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$98 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$97 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$97
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses41 / 38
Est. fees paid−$105
Open positions1
Markets (closed)79 / 80
History coverage21d
Avg bet$76
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 1 History 79 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$110
7 days+$110
14 days−$17
30 days−$97
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $53 $52 −$1 (-2%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 21¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 54¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic Dino Prizmic 67¢ 0¢ $191 $0 −$191 (-100%)
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima Brandon Nakashima 12¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 60¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Casper Ruud 26¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 41¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges Tomas Etcheverry 23¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Felix Auger-Aliassime 33¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Will CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka Jiri Lehecka 31¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 58¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton Ben Shelton 41¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejo Cameron Norrie 46¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Alexander Bublik 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Diana Shnaider 54¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Aryna Sabalenka 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev Nuno Borges 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien Mariano Navone 59¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Zachary Svajda 20¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $53 −$28 -53%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $64 +$73 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $85 +$44 +52%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $115 +$20 +17%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $39 −$38 -99%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $56 −$56 -100%
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 04 $10 +$14 +138%
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Jun 04 $17 −$9 -51%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 04 $70 −$2 -3%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 04 $25 −$3 -12%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $84 −$83 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $56 −$55 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $65 +$9 +14%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $191 +$93 +49%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $139 −$34 -24%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $15 −$4 -29%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $136 +$7 +5%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $175 +$28 +16%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $117 +$35 +30%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 01 $79 −$73 -92%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 01 $190 $0 -0%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $38 −$33 -89%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca May 31 $112 −$54 -48%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev May 31 $48 +$18 +38%
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev May 31 $80 +$15 +19%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $115 +$146 +126%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 30 $59 −$59 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima May 30 $79 +$32 +41%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe May 30 $15 +$29 +198%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon May 30 $58 +$9 +15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $168 −$60 -36%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien May 30 $63 −$49 -78%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 29 $171 +$19 +11%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $54 +$8 +15%
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong May 29 $74 −$21 -28%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 29 $86 −$11 -13%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 29 $50 +$36 +71%
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev May 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 28 $134 −$82 -61%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 28 $81 $0 +0%
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton May 28 $49 −$49 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima May 28 $77 −$25 -32%
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe May 28 $28 −$21 -75%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 28 $127 +$55 +44%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 28 $69 +$62 +90%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic May 27 $295 −$119 -40%
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys May 27 $72 −$53 -74%
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 27 $50 +$3 +6%
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsen May 27 $42 −$23 -53%
Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic May 27 $12 −$9 -74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$186
other 23% +$88
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $54 27m
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 28¢ $5 1h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 28¢ $23 1h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 34¢ $33 1h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 24¢ $25 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $64 16h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $129 16h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 65¢ $85 16h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 8¢ $8 16h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 49¢ $51 17h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 41¢ $128 17h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $65 24h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 59¢ $39 8d
Will France win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 56¢ $40 8d
Will France win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 56¢ $5 8d
Will France win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 56¢ $7 8d
Will France win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 56¢ $4 8d
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 24¢ $24 8d
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? SELL Yes 8¢ $8 8d
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? SELL Yes 8¢ $0 8d
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 8d
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? BUY Yes 16¢ $17 8d
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli SELL Flavio Cobolli 68¢ $68 8d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev SELL Jakub Mensik 22¢ $22 8d
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska BUY Diana Shnaider 39¢ $20 8d
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli BUY Flavio Cobolli 69¢ $70 8d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev BUY Jakub Mensik 24¢ $25 8d
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska BUY Diana Shnaider 62¢ $63 8d
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Marta Kostyuk 54¢ $56 9d
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 74¢ $74 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +20.9% +9.3% 75% 75% +24.3%
≤30d 79 -6.6% -15.5% 52% 48% -10.6%
≤90d 79 -6.6% -15.5% 52% 48% -10.6%
all 79 -6.6% -15.5% 52% 48% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.5% 48% -10.6%
10% -23.5% 34% -19.1%
15% -30.9% 28% -26.9%
20% -37.7% 22% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.16 · official $52.16 (match) · 256 history records