Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:23:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfa4a…234b
crypto · 154 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$70 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$70 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$70
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses63 / 91
Open positions0
Markets (closed)154 / 154
History coverage45d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day11.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 154 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$324
14 days−$290
30 days−$224
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 07 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 07 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 07 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $12 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $12 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -53.4% -57.9% 41% 7% -70.5%
≤30d 118 -12.7% -21.0% 43% 25% -27.3%
≤90d 154 +1.9% -7.8% 41% 27% -13.8%
all 154 +1.9% -7.8% 41% 27% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.8% 27% -13.8%
10% -16.7% 25% -22.1%
15% -24.7% 25% -29.6%
20% -32.1% 25% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 660 history records