Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:24:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfa38…cb25
crypto · 1077 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$835 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$832 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized−$832
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses646 / 427
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1073 / 1077
History coverage70d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day38.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 1073 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$198
14 days−$448
30 days−$469
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Up 60¢ 56¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Down 53¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Up 54¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$1 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Up 48¢ 42¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-11%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Up 59¢ 48¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$19 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $63 +$9 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$45 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $69 +$13 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $87 −$7 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +87%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$15 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +150%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$810
finance 2% −$4
other 2% −$25
politics 1% +$4
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $19 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 419 -10.2% -18.8% 53% 35% -13.9%
≤30d 966 -8.7% -17.4% 62% 50% -14.7%
≤90d 1073 -10.4% -18.9% 60% 48% -16.0%
all 1073 -10.4% -18.9% 60% 48% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 48% -16.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 29% -24.1%
15% -33.7% 14% -31.4%
20% -40.2% 9% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.73 · official $27.73 (match) · 3447 history records