trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 80% | 28% | -18.5% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 80% | 28% | -18.5% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 80% | 28% | -18.5% |
| all | 25 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 80% | 28% | -18.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.4% | 28% | -18.5% |
| 10% | -22.6% | 8% | -26.3% |
| 15% | -30.1% | 4% | -33.4% |
| 20% | -36.9% | 4% | -39.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15? | No | 92¢ | 90¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 15? | No | 63¢ | 66¢ | $12 | $13 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 15? | No | 89¢ | 83¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $13 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14? | Jun 15 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $19 | −$8 | -43% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$3 | +32% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$2 | +15% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 12? | Jun 13 | $4 | $0 | +12% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$2 | +15% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? | Jun 12 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 12? | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? | Jun 12 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$2 | +15% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$3 | +62% |