Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfa2b…f194
crypto · 1025 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$88 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$92 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$57
Realized+$92
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses537 / 488
Open positions14
Markets (closed)1025 / 1025
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day2059.6
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 14 History 1025 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$92
7 days+$92
14 days+$92
30 days+$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-0%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+95%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$2 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Down 51¢ 53¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 49¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Down 51¢ 28¢ $3 $1 −$1 (-46%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$10 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$10 -200%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$10 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$10 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$9 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$9 -200%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$9 -200%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$10 -200%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$10 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$8 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +104%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$7 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$8 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$194
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1025 +0.6% -9.0% 52% 47% -7.2%
≤30d 1025 +0.6% -9.0% 52% 47% -7.2%
≤90d 1025 +0.6% -9.0% 52% 47% -7.2%
all 1025 +0.6% -9.0% 52% 47% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2059.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 47% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 46% -16.1%
15% -25.7% 45% -24.2%
20% -33.0% 43% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $57.20 · official $54.42 · 3500 history records