trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -28.8% | -35.6% | 50% | 50% | +2.4% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -40.3% | -46.0% | 43% | 43% | -47.6% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -22.5% | -29.9% | 44% | 33% | -28.7% |
| all | 18 | -22.5% | -29.9% | 44% | 33% | -28.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.9% | 33% | -28.7% |
| 10% | -36.6% | 28% | -35.5% |
| 15% | -42.7% | 17% | -41.8% |
| 20% | -48.3% | 11% | -47.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $201 | $196 | −$5 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $133 | +$97 | +73% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 | Jun 17 | $179 | +$21 | +12% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5 | Jun 17 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $58 | −$57 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $84 | −$82 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 05 | $383 | −$378 | -99% |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30? | May 21 | $75 | +$25 | +33% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | May 13 | $406 | +$294 | +72% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13? | May 13 | $530 | −$530 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12? | May 12 | $324 | +$76 | +24% |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12 | May 11 | $53 | −$28 | -53% |
| Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3? | May 04 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 04 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | May 03 | $442 | +$158 | +36% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? | May 03 | $52 | $0 | -1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? | May 03 | $130 | −$4 | -3% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | May 03 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W | Apr 29 | $272 | −$272 | -100% |