Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:50:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfa1f…c846
politics · 16 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP politics specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses1 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)16 / 16
History coverage9d
Avg bet$192
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 16 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$3
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $214 $0 -0%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $235 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $215 $0 -0%
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12? Jun 12 $102 $0 +0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 11 $95 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $225 $0 -0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $233 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 11 $105 $0 -0%
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 09 $235 $0 -0%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 09 $230 $0 -0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina Jun 09 $93 $0 -0%
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 07 $236 $0 -0%
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 07 $228 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $190 $0 -0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 03 $233 $0 -0%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 03 $205 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 76% −$3
tech 18% $0
other 6% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $214 13m
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $214 30m
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $235 30m
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $235 1h
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $107 1h
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $107 1h
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $215 1h
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $102 29h
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $95 30h
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $95 47h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $225 47h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $225 2d
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $233 2d
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $233 2d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $105 2d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $105 3d
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $235 3d
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $235 4d
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $230 4d
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $230 4d
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina SELL No 99¢ $93 4d
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina BUY No 99¢ $93 6d
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $236 6d
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $236 6d
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $228 6d
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $228 6d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $190 9d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $190 9d
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $233 9d
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $233 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -0.1% -9.6% 8% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 16 -0.1% -9.6% 6% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 16 -0.1% -9.6% 6% 0% -9.6%
all 16 -0.1% -9.6% 6% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 39 history records