Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:31:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FA 0xfa1d…aa0c crypto 126 markets active 7d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (467 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$10 (-4%) realized −$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR13%break-even
Win rate14%18W / 108L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day467.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (467 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-20.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -15.6% -23.6% 14% 14% -24.6%
≤30d 126 -12.4% -20.8% 14% 13% -18.8%
≤90d 126 -12.4% -20.8% 14% 13% -18.8%
all 126 -12.4% -20.8% 14% 13% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover467.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.8% 13% -18.8%
10% ← realistic here -28.3% 13% -26.6%
15% -35.3% 13% -33.7%
20% -41.6% 13% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 23% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$1 · ×3.36 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses18 / 108
Open positions0
Markets (closed)126 / 126
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day467.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 126 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -59%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -51%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -73%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -20%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -19%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -28%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -17%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 479 history records