Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:11:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfa08…1a80
crypto · 2255 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$1,897 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,461 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,461
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses1200 / 876
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2076 / 2255
History coverage62d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day36.7
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 2076 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$68
7 days+$1,456
14 days+$2,899
30 days+$4,981
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +479%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -370%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -201%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5,796
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $34 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $34 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $37 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $40 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $40 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $37 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $38 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $37 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $34 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $35 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $34 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $40 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $37 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $37 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $40 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $40 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $34 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $34 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $37 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $34 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $37 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $34 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $31 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $31 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $31 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $28 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $28 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+1.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 261 +12.8% +2.0% 55% 55% +23.0%
≤30d 939 +22.8% +11.1% 63% 63% +18.2%
≤90d 2076 +11.7% +1.1% 58% 58% +8.2%
all 2076 +11.7% +1.1% 58% 58% +8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.1% 58% +8.2%
10% ← realistic here -8.6% 58% -2.1%
15% -17.4% 58% -11.6%
20% -25.5% 58% -20.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records