Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:36:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FA
0xfa01…9eed
crypto · 847 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$287 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$278 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$144
Realized−$278
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses497 / 347
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions12
Markets (closed)844 / 847
History coverage10d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day262.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 12 History 844 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$101
14 days−$278
30 days−$278
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $54 $52 −$2 (-3%)
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes 27¢ 18¢ $54 $35 −$19 (-35%)
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next? Yes 10¢ 38¢ $9 $33 +$25 (+285%)
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 10¢ 3¢ $23 $7 −$16 (-70%)
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? Yes 37¢ 40¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+7%)
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes 70¢ 88¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 82¢ 86¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $4 $2 −$3 (-60%)
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes 86¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes 56¢ 30¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 0¢ 80¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No 68¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9? Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +61%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9? Jun 09 $63 −$63 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +49%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +103%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$209
weather 7% −$67
other 3% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 16h
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next? SELL Yes 49¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 294 +0.5% -9.0% 60% 47% -16.5%
≤30d 844 -0.3% -9.8% 59% 48% -14.9%
≤90d 844 -0.3% -9.8% 59% 48% -14.9%
all 844 -0.3% -9.8% 59% 48% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover262.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 48% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 37% -23.0%
15% -26.3% 25% -30.5%
20% -33.5% 17% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $144.22 · official $144.00 (match) · 3500 history records