Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:44:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F9 0xf9f5…289b crypto 1222 markets active 0h ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (127 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,168 (+1%) realized +$2,168 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate99%1209W / 13L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$291per market
Trades / day127.3pace
Kalshi-fit71%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 17d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% +$781
other 16% −$813
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (127 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 722 +3.2% -6.6% 99% 2% -10.7%
≤30d 1222 +4.2% -5.7% 99% 2% -9.8%
≤90d 1222 +4.2% -5.7% 99% 2% -9.8%
all 1222 +4.2% -5.7% 99% 2% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover127.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 2% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -14.7% 1% -18.4%
15% -23.0% 1% -26.3%
20% -30.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +5% → late +4% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$570 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized+$2,168
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1209 / 13
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1222 / 1222
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$291
Trades / day127.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1222 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $143 +$9 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $68 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $142 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $133 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $130 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $149 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $56 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $128 +$24 +19%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $65 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $94 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $149 +$3 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $128 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $113 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$2 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $82 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $116 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $134 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $66 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 59m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 59m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $143 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $68 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $150 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $150 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $142 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $133 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $130 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $149 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $56 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.59 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records