Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:00:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9f2…5cba
finance · 291 markets active 8h ago
0.0score
+$10,272 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,325 · open +$237
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY finance specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$30,481
Realized+$6,325
Unrealized+$237
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses131 / 130
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$211
Open positions72
Markets (closed)261 / 291
Avg bet$159
Trades / day55.3
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 72 History 261 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$222
7 days+$393
14 days+$737
30 days+$3,103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 85¢ 95¢ $5,962 $6,658 +$696 (+12%)
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 86¢ 96¢ $2,580 $2,865 +$285 (+11%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 29¢ 23¢ $2,355 $1,852 −$503 (-21%)
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes 43¢ 40¢ $1,538 $1,438 −$100 (-7%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1,349 $1,394 +$45 (+3%)
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 55¢ 74¢ $769 $1,021 +$252 (+33%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 25¢ 28¢ $828 $940 +$112 (+14%)
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? Yes 78¢ 76¢ $926 $907 −$19 (-2%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $756 $882 +$126 (+17%)
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $529 $881 +$352 (+67%)
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 43¢ 56¢ $637 $837 +$200 (+31%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $826 $837 +$11 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $350 $675 +$325 (+93%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $690 $660 −$30 (-4%)
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 60¢ 68¢ $524 $593 +$69 (+13%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $538 $510 −$28 (-5%)
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $600 $500 −$100 (-17%)
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes 68¢ 100¢ $340 $500 +$160 (+47%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 22¢ $360 $430 +$70 (+19%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 40¢ $410 $405 −$5 (-1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 21¢ 19¢ $428 $384 −$44 (-10%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 48¢ 38¢ $480 $375 −$105 (-22%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $340 $332 −$7 (-2%)
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $630 $315 −$315 (-50%)
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 63¢ 67¢ $292 $310 +$17 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $37 −$27 -73%
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $23 +$2 +10%
Will Lennar (LEN) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $35 +$97 +275%
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $50 +$150 +300%
Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Academy Sports (ASO) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 09 $45 −$45 -100%
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 09 $9 +$91 +1011%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 09 $104 −$102 -98%
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 08 $17 +$25 +143%
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 08 $436 +$84 +19%
Will Batrider be the most banned hero at BLAST Slam VII? Jun 08 $118 +$2 +2%
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will Samsara (IOT) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will lululemon athletica (LULU) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 08 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Team Falcons win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 08 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 08 $37 −$37 -100%
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 08 $13 −$1 -10%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 08 $252 −$252 -100%
Will Aurora win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 08 $70 −$70 -100%
Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 08 $60 −$60 -100%
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 08 $199 +$415 +208%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 08 $273 −$273 -100%
Will Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 07 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Jun 07 $9 +$243 +2633%
Kash Patel out by June 30? Jun 07 $76 +$126 +166%
Will any match last over 70 minutes at BLAST Slam VII? Jun 07 $108 +$42 +39%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $20 +$82 +409%
Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 05 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 05 $22 +$3 +12%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $210 +$190 +91%
Will any team get mega creeps at BLAST Slam VII? Jun 03 $92 +$1 +1%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 03 $340 +$660 +194%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 01 $204 −$204 -100%
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 01 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31? Jun 01 $376 −$376 -100%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? Jun 01 $450 +$50 +11%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? Jun 01 $1,951 +$49 +2%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $145 −$145 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 28 $94 −$94 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 28 $280 −$280 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $318 +$182 +57%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 23 $252 +$448 +177%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 21 $129 +$171 +133%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 21 $143 +$357 +250%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 21 $411 +$656 +160%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B May 21 $246 −$246 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A May 21 $126 −$126 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 20 $113 +$87 +76%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 20 $117 +$83 +70%
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026? May 17 $75 +$25 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% +$3,280
finance 25% +$619
sports 18% +$2,779
world 8% +$213
economics 3% −$166
politics 0% −$36
tech 0% −$126
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $510 7h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $186 21h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $184 32h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $124 40h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $11 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $14 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $42 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $2 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $56 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $3 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $7 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $2 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $7 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $7 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $3 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+51.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +110.7% +90.6% 43% 36% +4.9%
≤30d 72 +84.1% +66.6% 54% 47% +14.1%
≤90d 261 +67.2% +51.3% 50% 41% +3.8%
all 261 +67.2% +51.3% 50% 41% +3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +51.3% 41% +3.8%
10% ← realistic here +36.8% 34% -6.1%
15% +23.6% 31% -15.2%
20% +11.5% 29% -23.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30,481.22 · official $30,482.05 (match) · 3500 history records