Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:24:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9f0…b7b1
crypto · 1246 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$151 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$125 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$522
Realized−$125
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses680 / 555
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions11
Markets (closed)1235 / 1246
History coverage53d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day42.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 11 History 1235 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$651
7 days+$426
14 days−$82
30 days−$268
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $145 $170 +$25 (+17%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Up 94¢ 62¢ $183 $122 −$61 (-33%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 79¢ 76¢ $44 $42 −$2 (-4%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 88¢ 75¢ $44 $38 −$6 (-14%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 45¢ 42¢ $39 $36 −$3 (-8%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? No 84¢ 96¢ $26 $30 +$4 (+14%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? No 90¢ 78¢ $27 $24 −$3 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 72¢ 68¢ $18 $16 −$1 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $8 $16 +$8 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+117%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+78%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+85%)
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Up 45¢ 56¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+26%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? Yes 86¢ 14¢ $15 $2 −$12 (-84%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Down 57¢ 44¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-24%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Down 45¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 23¢ 16¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? No 90¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $117 +$26 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $144 +$50 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $203 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $147 +$25 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $163 +$8 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $122 +$40 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$25 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $74 +$25 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $170 +$75 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $87 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $113 +$14 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$5 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $65 +$12 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $159 +$23 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$15 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$85 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$49 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $203 +$68 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $88 +$69 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$57 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $223 +$46 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +114%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $257 +$28 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$47 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$12 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$46
other 5% −$35
world 1% −$14
sports 1% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $41 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $28 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $14 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $101 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $11 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $100 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $63 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 293 -10.5% -19.0% 52% 49% -4.5%
≤30d 599 -12.1% -20.5% 58% 43% -11.2%
≤90d 1235 -0.9% -10.3% 55% 48% -10.3%
all 1235 -0.9% -10.3% 55% 48% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 48% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 43% -18.8%
15% -26.7% 40% -26.7%
20% -33.9% 38% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $521.63 · official $518.15 (match) · 3500 history records