Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:00:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9e5…4a82
crypto · 371 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$11,941 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,070 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$110
Realized−$5,070
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses335 / 80
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)415 / 371
History coverage6d
Avg bet$262
Trades / day496.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 415 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,579
7 days−$5,070
14 days−$5,070
30 days−$5,070
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $101 $102 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $301 $0 −$301 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $406 $0 −$406 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $203 $0 −$203 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $403 $0 −$403 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $252 $0 −$252 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $453 $0 −$453 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $101 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $151 −$151 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $301 −$301 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $406 −$406 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $198 −$198 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$67 -130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $203 −$203 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $403 −$403 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $252 −$252 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $453 −$552 -122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $545 −$967 -177%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $301 −$301 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $459 −$550 -120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $102 −$115 -113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $114 −$114 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $151 −$151 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$448 -881%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $925 −$925 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$95 -205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $301 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $554 +$26 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $654 +$53 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $101 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $451 +$7 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,546
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $51 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 415 -7.3% -16.2% 81% 15% -12.6%
≤30d 415 -7.3% -16.2% 81% 15% -12.6%
≤90d 415 -7.3% -16.2% 81% 15% -12.6%
all 415 -7.3% -16.2% 81% 15% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover496.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 15% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 3% -21.0%
15% -31.5% 1% -28.6%
20% -38.2% 0% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $109.98 · official $109.98 (match) · 3500 history records