Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:15:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9da…f9de
weather · 588 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$2,791 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,792 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,792
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses560 / 27
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)587 / 588
History coverage38d
Avg bet$283
Trades / day81.6
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 587 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$164
7 days+$693
14 days+$1,390
30 days+$1,705
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 13? Jun 13 $107 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $109 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on June 13? Jun 12 $22 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 12 $339 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $350 +$50 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $242 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $399 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $384 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $138 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1,597 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $399 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 12 $102 +$58 +57%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 11 $9 +$1 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $140 +$38 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $399 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $53 +$6 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $376 +$24 +6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10? Jun 10 $399 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 10? Jun 10 $205 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 10? Jun 10 $15 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 10? Jun 10 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $183 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 10? Jun 10 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 10? Jun 10 $58 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 9? Jun 10 $32 +$21 +66%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 9? Jun 10 $49 +$110 +224%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 9? Jun 09 $100 +$60 +60%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on June 10? Jun 09 $376 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $399 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 9? Jun 09 $196 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 9? Jun 09 $399 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 9? Jun 09 $393 +$7 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 9? Jun 09 $399 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $131 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 8? Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 9? Jun 09 $301 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 9? Jun 09 $399 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 9? Jun 09 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 8? Jun 08 $198 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 8? Jun 08 $9 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on June 8? Jun 08 $399 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 8? Jun 08 $399 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 8? Jun 08 $396 +$4 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 8? Jun 08 $305 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 8? Jun 08 $177 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 8? Jun 08 $93 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 7? Jun 07 $138 +$22 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7? Jun 07 $142 +$10 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$2,792
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $107 3h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $107 3h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $110 5h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $109 6h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $22 11h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $22 11h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $67 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $66 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $70 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $69 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $70 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $21 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $12 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $99 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $198 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $9 12h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $27 15h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $10 15h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $15 15h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $21 15h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $10 15h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $311 15h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $6 15h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 87¢ $350 15h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $18 16h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $9 16h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $159 16h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $21 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 +11.1% +0.5% 100% 19% -6.0%
≤30d 342 +4.1% -5.8% 94% 10% -8.0%
≤90d 587 +3.8% -6.1% 95% 9% -8.0%
all 587 +3.8% -6.1% 95% 9% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover81.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.1% 9% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -15.1% 7% -16.8%
15% -23.3% 6% -24.8%
20% -30.8% 5% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records