Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T09:22:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F9 0xf9d6…8033 crypto 168 markets active 0h ago coverage 10d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$28 (+1%) realized +$28 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate85%140W / 24L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day21.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days+$9
14 days−$31
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 144 +2.6% -7.2% 92% 26% -9.1%
≤30d 164 -2.6% -11.9% 85% 27% -10.8%
≤90d 164 -2.6% -11.9% 85% 27% -10.8%
all 164 -2.6% -11.9% 85% 27% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 27% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 0% -19.3%
15% -28.0% 0% -27.1%
20% -35.1% 0% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late +4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$8 · ×0.14 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses140 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)164 / 168
History coverage10d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day21.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 164 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 28 $47 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 28 $103 −$49 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $50 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 28 $50 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 28 $50 +$4 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 28 $50 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $25 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 27 $25 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 27 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 27 $25 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 27 $25 +$5 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 27 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 27 $51 −$7 -15%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 27 $23 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 27 $52 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 26 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$3 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$4 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$2 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 26 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 26 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 26 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 26 $25 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 26 $36 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$3 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 26 $25 +$2 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 26 $30 −$25 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$3 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 26 $63 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $25 +$3 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 25 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 25 $25 +$2 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $25 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$3 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 24 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$5 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$2 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $47 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $53 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 38h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $23 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $30 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $37 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 340 history records