trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 17% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 17% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 22 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 64% | 5% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 5% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 5% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 5% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 5% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 22 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 26 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 26 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 25 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 25 | $31 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? | Jun 24 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 23–30? | May 28 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Oliver Bearman finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | May 27 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes be Eastern Conference champions? | May 27 | $2 | +$1 | +82% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? | May 25 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May? | May 06 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Apr 17 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | Apr 03 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 27 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 22 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14? | Mar 20 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in February? | Mar 13 | $13 | $0 | +1% |