Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:42:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9c9…1b9e
crypto · 167 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses159 / 7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)166 / 167
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day70.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 166 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 97¢ 90¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 166 -0.4% -9.9% 96% 1% -10.3%
≤30d 166 -0.4% -9.9% 96% 1% -10.3%
≤90d 166 -0.4% -9.9% 96% 1% -10.3%
all 166 -0.4% -9.9% 96% 1% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 1% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 1% -18.8%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.77 · official $2.58 (match) · 336 history records