Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:15:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9c4…ed5b
crypto · 1591 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,962 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,513 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,513
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses809 / 903
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1712 / 1591
History coverage34d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day101.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 1712 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,855
7 days−$5,806
14 days−$5,563
30 days−$5,432
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$301
other 6% +$109
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 401 -72.8% -75.4% 16% 16% -94.4%
≤30d 1266 -15.6% -23.7% 46% 46% -35.3%
≤90d 1712 -11.7% -20.1% 47% 47% -32.0%
all 1712 -11.7% -20.1% 47% 47% -32.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover101.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 47% -32.0%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 47% -38.5%
15% -34.7% 47% -44.4%
20% -41.1% 43% -49.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records