Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:36:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9b9…f97a
crypto · 1660 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$76 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$76 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$76
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1396 / 264
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1660 / 1660
History coverage54d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day33.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1660 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$205
14 days−$92
30 days−$224
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $13 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $13 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $13 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $13 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $13 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $13 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $13 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $13 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $13 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 35h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $13 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $13 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 -14.6% -22.8% 77% 38% -22.7%
≤30d 669 -8.6% -17.3% 82% 43% -13.8%
≤90d 1660 -1.7% -11.1% 84% 50% -10.3%
all 1660 -1.7% -11.1% 84% 50% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 50% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 9% -18.9%
15% -27.4% 7% -26.7%
20% -34.5% 5% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records