Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:42:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9b3…99d6
other · 335 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$12 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses172 / 162
Open positions1
Markets (closed)334 / 335
History coverage238d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit45%
Chart Positions 1 History 334 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Perricard 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-03? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Hamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Valencia win on 2025-12-07? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Hornets Hawks 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11? Yes 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Avalanche vs. Predators Avalanche 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) 3DMAX 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Heat Heat 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Lightning vs. Kings Kings 70¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs. PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will CD Tondela win on 2025-12-13? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ducks vs. Penguins Penguins 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Ceará SC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Sudan end in a draw? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Hawks Hawks 46¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -57%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Miami Open, Qualification: Jay Clarke vs Shintaro Mochizuki Mar 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Mavericks vs. Raptors Mar 09 $5 +$1 +25%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08? Mar 07 $6 −$1 -17%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07? Mar 07 $2 +$1 +27%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-06? Mar 07 $19 −$19 -100%
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06? Mar 07 $6 −$4 -66%
Longwood Lancers vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs Mar 07 $5 +$3 +53%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Mar 07 $5 +$3 +54%
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? Mar 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07? Mar 06 $8 −$5 -60%
Grambling State Tigers vs. Alabama State Hornets Mar 06 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05? Mar 06 $5 +$4 +82%
Thunder vs. Knicks Mar 05 $5 +$3 +61%
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? Mar 05 $2 +$2 +85%
Brasilia: Guto Miguel vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Mar 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04? Mar 04 $10 −$6 -59%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs QUAZAR (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qua Mar 04 $5 +$3 +68%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Mar 04 $11 +$9 +82%
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Mar 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Mar 04 $10 +$2 +19%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02? Mar 03 $5 +$9 +186%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? Mar 02 $3 −$3 -85%
Grizzlies vs. Pacers Mar 02 $9 +$3 +33%
Golden Knights vs. Penguins Mar 01 $7 +$2 +30%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Mar 01 $6 +$1 +16%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28? Mar 01 $4 +$2 +43%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14? Feb 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11? Feb 12 $9 +$4 +41%
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-02-11? Feb 11 $4 −$1 -21%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-11? Feb 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12? Feb 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08? Feb 09 $6 +$3 +54%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-08? Feb 08 $5 +$3 +64%
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-07? Feb 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07? Feb 07 $4 +$3 +61%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-07? Feb 07 $9 +$1 +16%
Senators vs. Hurricanes Feb 05 $5 +$3 +61%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? Feb 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01? Feb 01 $10 −$5 -48%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31? Feb 01 $28 +$10 +35%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28? Jan 29 $24 +$4 +15%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25? Jan 25 $9 +$1 +15%
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) Jan 22 $12 −$12 -100%
Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorers Jan 22 $8 +$4 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% +$66
sports 37% −$103
politics 2% +$26
world 1% −$9
economics 1% +$9
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 18h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 18h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $2 18h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $1 18h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 21h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 21h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 2d
Miami Open, Qualification: Jay Clarke vs Shintaro Mochizuki BUY Shintaro Mochizuki 59¢ $4 88d
Mavericks vs. Raptors BUY Raptors 80¢ $5 96d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08? SELL Yes 50¢ $5 97d
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07? SELL Yes 56¢ $3 97d
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07? BUY Yes 44¢ $2 97d
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-06? BUY Yes 95¢ $15 98d
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-06? BUY Yes 50¢ $4 98d
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06? SELL Yes 19¢ $2 98d
Longwood Lancers vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs BUY UNC Asheville Bulldogs 65¢ $5 98d
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? BUY Yes 57¢ $3 98d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07? SELL Yes 24¢ $3 98d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07? BUY Yes 60¢ $8 98d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 BUY Astralis 65¢ $5 99d
Grambling State Tigers vs. Alabama State Hornets BUY Alabama State Hornets 63¢ $6 99d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05? BUY Yes 55¢ $5 99d
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 100d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04? SELL Yes 36¢ $4 100d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04? BUY Yes 87¢ $10 100d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08? BUY Yes 60¢ $6 100d
Thunder vs. Knicks BUY Thunder 62¢ $5 100d
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06? BUY Yes 55¢ $6 100d
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 BUY los kogutos 65¢ $6 100d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.4% -9.9% 50% 50% +1.8%
≤30d 4 -0.4% -9.9% 50% 50% +1.8%
≤90d 5 -20.3% -27.9% 40% 40% -17.4%
all 334 -7.3% -16.1% 51% 51% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.1% 51% -9.9%
10% -24.1% 48% -18.5%
15% -31.5% 42% -26.4%
20% -38.2% 34% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.96 · official $4.96 (match) · 671 history records