Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:57:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9af…7245
crypto · 462 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$535 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$606 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized−$606
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses255 / 198
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions9
Markets (closed)453 / 462
History coverage525d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 9 History 453 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 28¢ 22¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-20%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Under 75¢ 80¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+7%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 53¢ 74¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+39%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 32¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+20%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ 26¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+86%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Türkiye to score first vs. Australia? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Yes 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 −$2 -39%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $5 +$40 +786%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $20 +$10 +48%
Scotland to score first vs. Haiti? Jun 14 $10 +$5 +46%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 14 $10 +$2 +24%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $15 +$16 +105%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -99%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -99%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +109%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 −$8 -78%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $20 −$15 -72%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 −$8 -77%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 +$38 +250%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 +$56 +550%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 +$7 +67%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $15 +$7 +46%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $10 +$8 +76%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$10 +188%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 +$45 +874%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $15 +$4 +26%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $15 +$6 +41%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$3 +14%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $20 +$5 +26%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 +$5 +51%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET May 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$442
sports 5% +$29
other 4% −$39
finance 2% −$161
world 0% −$10
politics 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score SELL No 32¢ $3 11m
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 26m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 28¢ $10 29m
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 57m
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 57m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $5 59m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 52¢ $5 59m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 75¢ $7 1h
Türkiye to score first vs. Australia? BUY Yes 65¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 12¢ $0 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 12¢ $5 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 4h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 80¢ $10 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 67¢ $20 4h
Scotland to score first vs. Haiti? BUY Yes 68¢ $10 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 41¢ $10 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $15 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $40 7h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 66¢ $51 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 8h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 30¢ $15 8h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 69¢ $10 9h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 79¢ $10 9h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 74¢ $10 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +30.1% +17.7% 49% 49% -7.5%
≤30d 47 +30.1% +17.7% 49% 49% -7.5%
≤90d 208 -4.0% -13.1% 57% 52% -25.5%
all 453 -4.6% -13.7% 56% 52% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.7% 52% -17.3%
10% -21.9% 42% -25.2%
15% -29.5% 29% -32.4%
20% -36.4% 20% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.37 · official $36.37 (match) · 1475 history records