Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:00:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9a6…933f
crypto · 161 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses93 / 66
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)159 / 161
History coverage3d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day82.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 159 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 49¢ 20¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-60%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$21 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$26 +305%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% $0
sports 0% −$1
tech 0% −$1
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $21 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 +3.6% -6.3% 58% 54% -9.6%
≤30d 159 +3.6% -6.3% 58% 54% -9.6%
≤90d 159 +3.6% -6.3% 58% 54% -9.6%
all 159 +3.6% -6.3% 58% 54% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.3% 54% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -15.3% 53% -18.2%
15% -23.4% 48% -26.1%
20% -30.9% 35% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.19 · official $4.94 · 393 history records