Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:08:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9a2…a79a
sports · 264 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$13,238 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18,246 · open −$4,950
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23,028
Realized+$18,246
Unrealized−$4,950
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses74 / 173
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$1,509
Open positions14
Markets (closed)247 / 264
History coverage43d
Avg bet$1,151
Trades / day78.2
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 14 History 247 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,150
7 days−$790
14 days+$2,763
30 days+$18,174
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 50¢ 85¢ $5,000 $8,485 +$3,485 (+70%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $4,400 $5,425 +$1,025 (+23%)
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2,000 $3,000 +$1,000 (+50%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 50¢ 15¢ $5,000 $1,515 −$3,485 (-70%)
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2,104 $1,164 −$940 (-45%)
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 19¢ 20¢ $836 $860 +$25 (+3%)
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,700 $850 −$850 (-50%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,000 $750 −$250 (-25%)
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $850 $425 −$425 (-50%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $220 $179 −$41 (-19%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $145 $123 −$22 (-15%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $70 $121 +$51 (+74%)
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 1¢ $532 $83 −$449 (-84%)
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? No 8¢ 1¢ $537 $41 −$496 (-92%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? Yes 25¢ 2¢ $100 $7 −$93 (-93%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $2,760 −$309 -11%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $1,770 −$105 -6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? Jun 12 $360 −$240 -67%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 11 $1,800 −$355 -20%
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 11 $6,003 −$64 -1%
Will Puerto Rico win on 2026-06-05? Jun 11 $77 −$77 -100%
Worst Cup: Fakers FC vs. Infamous FC Jun 09 $338 −$68 -20%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $2,033 −$186 -9%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 09 $6,525 +$199 +3%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 08 $824 +$2,830 +343%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $430 −$274 -64%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 08 $361 −$157 -44%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $6,833 −$14 -0%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $480 −$342 -71%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 07 $555 −$109 -20%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 07 $500 −$122 -24%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $374 −$138 -37%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week Jun 07 $14,969 +$17 +0%
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $569 −$478 -84%
Ethereum flipped in 2026? Jun 05 $796 −$796 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week Jun 04 $0 $0 -5%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $19,742 +$1,820 +9%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $92 −$33 -35%
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $7,390 −$109 -2%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $261 −$165 -63%
Will Cole Palmer score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $227 −$2 -1%
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31? Jun 01 $2,640 +$6 +0%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 30 $720 $0 -0%
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $0 $0 -3%
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? May 30 $1 +$55 +8930%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 29 $749 +$1,981 +264%
Egypt vs. Russia: Both Teams to Score May 28 $635 −$345 -54%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? May 28 $39,958 $0 +0%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $1,161 −$1,067 -92%
Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Karolina Muchova May 27 $330 −$38 -12%
Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magda Linette May 27 $460 −$19 -4%
Roland Garros WTA: Daria Snigur vs Peyton Stearns May 27 $680 −$43 -6%
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks May 27 $1,020 −$54 -5%
Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Henri Squire May 27 $728 −$29 -4%
Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Zdenek Kolar May 27 $320 −$12 -4%
Chisinau: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Alex Martinez May 27 $672 −$95 -14%
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Stefan Dostanic May 27 $1,005 −$55 -6%
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublev May 27 $575 −$17 -3%
Kosice: Milos Karol vs Andrej Martin May 27 $896 −$76 -8%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $322 +$378 +117%
Roland Garros WTA: Eva Lys vs Sorana Cirstea May 27 $312 −$2 -1%
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra May 27 $66 −$1 -1%
Roland Garros WTA: Caty McNally vs Belinda Bencic May 27 $1,073 −$9 -1%
Little Rock: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic May 27 $6 $0 -2%
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paul May 27 $541 −$3 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 35% +$4,749
world 22% +$2,380
sports 22% +$10,814
politics 12% −$5,124
crypto 8% +$769
tech 2% −$291
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? SELL No 13¢ $344 2h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY No 15¢ $414 2h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 7¢ $117 2h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1,030 2h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt? BUY Yes 0¢ $13 10h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $92 12h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $28 12h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY 10¢ $107 17h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY 8¢ $103 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 16¢ $780 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 18¢ $1 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 18¢ $665 20h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? SELL No 16¢ $1,022 20h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 17¢ $85 21h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 17¢ $100 21h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 17¢ $70 21h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 21¢ $800 22h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 21¢ $1,000 22h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European countr BUY Yes 25¢ $100 22h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 24h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 24h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 24h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 16¢ $260 24h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 15¢ $458 24h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? SELL No 17¢ $98 24h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? SELL No 17¢ $510 24h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 15¢ $261 24h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 15¢ $2 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 12¢ $164 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND BUY 10¢ $175 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-2.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -16.6% -24.5% 15% 5% -11.0%
≤30d 157 +15.7% +4.7% 27% 10% -1.6%
≤90d 247 +7.9% -2.4% 30% 10% -3.4%
all 247 +7.9% -2.4% 30% 10% -3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.4% 10% -3.4%
10% -11.7% 8% -12.6%
15% ← realistic here -20.2% 7% -21.1%
20% -28.1% 6% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23,027.88 · official $23,445.93 · 3500 history records