Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:40:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf9a0…6e74
sports · 931 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$84 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$91 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$154
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses764 / 178
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions11
Markets (closed)942 / 931
History coverage12d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day212.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 11 History 942 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$158
7 days−$82
14 days−$91
30 days−$91
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 91¢ 100¢ $38 $41 +$3 (+9%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 89¢ 100¢ $24 $27 +$3 (+11%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 88¢ 100¢ $22 $25 +$3 (+13%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 90¢ 96¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+7%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 77¢ 100¢ $16 $21 +$5 (+31%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 79¢ 84¢ $6 $7 +$0 (+6%)
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Minnesota Twins 81¢ 96¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+18%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 75¢ 84¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+11%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 71¢ 76¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Under 97¢ 92¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 74¢ 4¢ $10 $1 −$10 (-95%)
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Under 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 80¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 80¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Under 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Iryna Shymanovich Iryna Shymanovich 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Under 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski Maks Kasnikowski 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna Juan Manuel La Serna 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cattolica: Michele Ribecai vs Franco Agamenone Michele Ribecai 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? No 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5 Under 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Under 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic Jun 13 $63 −$67 -106%
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will National Bank of Egypt Club vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary end in Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Kataller Toyama vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Modern SC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Paraguay leading at halftime? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $16 +$4 +28%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $17 +$1 +3%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $22 +$4 +16%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $27 +$3 +12%
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5) Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $43 +$13 +31%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $16 −$1 -4%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Jun 13 $9 +$2 +20%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $50 −$49 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 +$2 +26%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $30 +$4 +12%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $26 −$9 -33%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $17 +$2 +9%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $11 +$2 +22%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $77 +$20 +26%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $77 +$19 +25%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 +$2 +31%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $34 +$3 +10%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $3 $0 +11%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$13
other 18% +$92
world 0% −$1
crypto 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 75¢ $3 16m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 96¢ $1 16m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 76¢ $2 19m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 76¢ $2 20m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 71¢ $2 23m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 83¢ $1 26m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Under 97¢ $2 27m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $4 31m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 92¢ $4 33m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $1 41m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 87¢ $1 41m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $2 41m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $2 41m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 87¢ $2 41m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 86¢ $3 42m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 94¢ $4 43m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 83¢ $9 44m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $4 44m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 78¢ $1 46m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 79¢ $4 47m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 96¢ $5 47m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 85¢ $1 48m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 99¢ $15 54m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 99¢ $8 54m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 87¢ $6 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 85¢ $6 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 97¢ $17 1h
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 81¢ $3 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 83¢ $3 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 94¢ $13 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 510 -2.9% -12.2% 80% 53% -11.2%
≤30d 942 -1.6% -11.0% 81% 53% -10.6%
≤90d 942 -1.6% -11.0% 81% 53% -10.6%
all 942 -1.6% -11.0% 81% 53% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover212.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 53% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 27% -19.1%
15% -27.3% 6% -27.0%
20% -34.4% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $153.60 · official $153.60 (match) · 3500 history records