trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Pavlovic: 1+ goals | Yes | 8¢ | 26¢ | $77 | $250 | +$173 (+225%) |
| Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5) | Konyaspor | 4¢ | 0¢ | $38 | $0 | −$38 (-100%) |
| Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | No | 93¢ | 0¢ | $497 | $0 | −$497 (-100%) |
| Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5) | Botafogo FR | 7¢ | 0¢ | $53 | $0 | −$53 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | Jun 14 | $69 | +$1 | +1% |
| Spread: Gambia (-1.5) | May 30 | $452 | +$28 | +6% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | May 29 | $455 | $0 | +0% |
| Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | May 28 | $497 | −$497 | -100% |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? | May 28 | $499 | −$2 | -0% |
| Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group | May 28 | $461 | +$34 | +7% |
| Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31? | May 27 | $460 | +$5 | +1% |
| Spread: Nice (-2.5) | May 27 | $442 | +$18 | +4% |
| Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31? | May 26 | $448 | −$6 | -1% |
| Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5) | Apr 27 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Apr | Apr 27 | $6 | −$3 | -43% |
| Spread: CA Juventud (-1.5) | Apr 17 | $410 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 20 | Apr 16 | $402 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5) | Apr 15 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 100% | 0% | -8.3% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -9.1% | -17.7% | 56% | 0% | -19.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -23.1% | -30.4% | 50% | 0% | -19.3% |
| all | 14 | -23.1% | -30.4% | 50% | 0% | -19.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.4% | 0% | -19.3% |
| 10% | -37.1% | 0% | -27.1% |
| 15% | -43.2% | 0% | -34.1% |
| 20% | -48.7% | 0% | -40.6% |