Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:24:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf993…5b85
crypto · 12 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses7 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)12 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day32.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$19 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $45 −$10 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $57 +$8 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up $7 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $26 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $25 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $30 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $12 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $26 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $22 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $19 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $12 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $29 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $25 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $35 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -1.1% -10.5% 58% 50% -10.8%
≤30d 12 -1.1% -10.5% 58% 50% -10.8%
≤90d 12 -1.1% -10.5% 58% 50% -10.8%
all 12 -1.1% -10.5% 58% 50% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 50% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 0% -19.3%
15% -26.9% 0% -27.1%
20% -34.1% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 39 history records