Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf988…32a7
sports · 1452 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$272 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$271 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$39
Realized−$271
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1284 / 166
Est. fees paid−$137
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1450 / 1452
History coverage73d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day43.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 1450 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days−$59
14 days−$647
30 days−$378
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $30 $31 +$0 (+1%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 96¢ 82¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-14%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 90¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Felix Auger-Aliassime 96¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 75¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul Alex de Minaur 93¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 71¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 83¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 73¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner Team WE 84¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 72¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 85¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Camilo Ugo Carabelli 68¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Anyones Legend 85¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 92¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 52¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Andrey Rublev 53¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wang Xinyu Wang 54¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zheng Qinwen Zheng 75¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Diana Shnaider 62¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Aryna Sabalenka 89¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winner RED Canids 67¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Los Angeles Dodgers 97¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX 84¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $19 +$1 +5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $33 +$5 +16%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$2 +9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $26 +$11 +42%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $20 +$1 +5%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$1 +4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $50 +$16 +32%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $22 −$22 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $23 +$19 +79%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Jun 11 $29 +$1 +3%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $19 +$4 +18%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $18 +$1 +5%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $57 $0 +1%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$1 +11%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $10 $0 +4%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $20 +$1 +3%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $25 +$2 +10%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$1 +5%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 205.5 Jun 09 $52 +$2 +4%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 200.5 Jun 09 $8 $0 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 201.5 Jun 09 $18 $0 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 102.5 Jun 09 $44 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $16 +$2 +11%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $33 +$3 +8%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $10 $0 +2%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $33 $0 +0%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 $0 +2%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $35 +$2 +5%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $35 +$2 +5%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $58 +$12 +20%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $43 −$43 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$263
other 2% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 96¢ $10 44m
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) SELL Chicago White Sox 100¢ $5 1h
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) BUY Chicago White Sox 98¢ $5 1h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) BUY Chicago White Sox 98¢ $5 1h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) SELL Milwaukee Brewers 100¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $31 1h
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) SELL Baltimore Orioles 100¢ $31 1h
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) BUY Baltimore Orioles 99¢ $5 2h
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) BUY Baltimore Orioles 99¢ $25 2h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 99¢ $10 2h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 97¢ $10 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 BUY Under 98¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 96¢ $10 8h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 95¢ $19 10h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 94¢ $10 15h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 83¢ $23 15h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $23 15h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $21 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $11 17h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $10 17h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 93¢ $10 18h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 100¢ $5 23h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 100¢ $10 23h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 2.5 BUY Under 99¢ $10 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 97¢ $10 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $5 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $10 25h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $10 25h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 100¢ $5 25h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 94¢ $5 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -4.0% -13.1% 89% 16% -13.1%
≤30d 394 -3.6% -12.8% 85% 29% -12.2%
≤90d 1450 -0.5% -9.9% 89% 26% -10.2%
all 1450 -0.5% -9.9% 89% 26% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 26% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 12% -18.8%
15% -26.4% 7% -26.6%
20% -33.6% 2% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.45 · official $39.45 (match) · 3500 history records