Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf985…f241
crypto · 67 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$22 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses43 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day54.8
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days+$22
14 days+$22
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +107%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +81%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)+4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +15.6% +4.6% 64% 64% +4.4%
≤30d 67 +15.6% +4.6% 64% 64% +4.4%
≤90d 67 +15.6% +4.6% 64% 64% +4.4%
all 67 +15.6% +4.6% 64% 64% +4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.6% 64% +4.4%
10% ← realistic here -5.4% 64% -5.6%
15% -14.6% 63% -14.7%
20% -23.0% 61% -23.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 150 history records