Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:06:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf970…f7f6
sports · 812 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$18,717 +42%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18,790 · open −$73
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$533
Realized+$18,790
Unrealized−$73
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses260 / 534
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$955
Open positions18
Markets (closed)794 / 812
History coverage42d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day52.7
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 18 History 794 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$292
7 days−$6,791
14 days−$4,687
30 days+$18,790
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $50 −$50 (-50%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 36¢ 38¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+4%)
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Darwin Blanch 43¢ 44¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Felix Balshaw 56¢ 56¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Johan Alexander Rodriguez 35¢ 34¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Filippo Romano 36¢ 36¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer David Jorda Sanchis 38¢ 38¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 41¢ 40¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 40¢ 40¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Darja Vidmanova 28¢ 27¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Mary Stoiana 41¢ 40¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 51¢ 48¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-6%)
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Enrico Dalla Valle 28¢ 26¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Adrian Mannarino 21¢ 20¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-7%)
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 21¢ 20¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-7%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Caty McNally 12¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio Liam Broady 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 27¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessica Pieri Jessica Pieri 6¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 54¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Solana Sierra 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $21 +$54 +262%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $21 +$19 +93%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $21 +$44 +216%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $21 +$44 +216%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $20 +$29 +140%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $21 +$26 +129%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $21 +$54 +262%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $21 +$35 +172%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $21 +$51 +250%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $41 −$40 -98%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $41 −$40 -98%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $21 −$20 -99%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Jun 12 $21 −$20 -98%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $21 +$26 +128%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $271 −$270 -100%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $1,004 +$41 +4%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $21 +$51 +250%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $41 −$40 -97%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $21 −$20 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $21 +$122 +596%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Leandro Riedi Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $20 +$30 +146%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $21 +$51 +249%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $20 +$29 +139%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $21 +$37 +180%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $21 +$32 +158%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $21 +$37 +180%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $20 +$49 +238%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $20 +$60 +291%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $21 −$20 -98%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $21 −$21 -99%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 11 $21 −$20 -98%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 11 $21 −$20 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $21 −$20 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $21 −$20 -98%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $20 +$66 +324%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $20 +$30 +145%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 10 $21 +$22 +109%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 10 $21 +$22 +109%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $21 +$32 +158%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$18,955
other 1% −$238
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 35¢ $21 1h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 40¢ $20 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 41¢ $20 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 41¢ $20 1h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Darja Vidmanova 28¢ $21 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 56¢ $20 1h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 21¢ $21 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Enrico Dalla Valle 28¢ $21 2h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 38¢ $21 2h
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano BUY Filippo Romano 36¢ $21 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 21¢ $21 2h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 11¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 12¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 12¢ $3 2h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 12¢ $14 2h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 11¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 11¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 11¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 36¢ $21 2h
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Darwin Blanch 43¢ $21 2h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 10¢ $0 2h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 10¢ $3 2h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 10¢ $1 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 51¢ $21 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $75 12h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 27¢ $21 20h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 25¢ $20 20h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 8¢ $21 20h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 62¢ $21 20h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 14¢ $21 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 228 -9.5% -18.1% 32% 31% -57.8%
≤30d 794 +4.7% -5.3% 33% 32% +2.5%
≤90d 794 +4.7% -5.3% 33% 32% +2.5%
all 794 +4.7% -5.3% 33% 32% +2.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.3% 32% +2.5%
10% ← realistic here -14.3% 32% -7.3%
15% -22.6% 32% -16.3%
20% -30.2% 31% -24.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $532.74 · official $533.16 (match) · 2802 history records