Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:29:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf96c…4341
crypto · 417 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$38 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$36
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses322 / 94
Open positions1
Markets (closed)416 / 417
History coverage24d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day17.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 416 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$61
14 days−$26
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +208%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +228%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +190%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$8 +187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +77%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 281 -6.6% -15.5% 73% 73% -13.8%
≤30d 416 -3.0% -12.2% 77% 77% -11.2%
≤90d 416 -3.0% -12.2% 77% 77% -11.2%
all 416 -3.0% -12.2% 77% 77% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.2% 77% -11.2%
10% -20.6% 5% -19.7%
15% -28.3% 3% -27.4%
20% -35.3% 3% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.03 · official $0.08 (match) · 741 history records