Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:43:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf96a…e4c4
crypto · 563 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses340 / 223
Open positions0
Markets (closed)563 / 563
History coverage18d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day46.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 563 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days+$2
14 days+$44
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +245%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$2 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 07 $3 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 07 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 07 $2 +$3 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $0 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $4 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 42h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $4 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 +1.1% -8.6% 58% 58% -8.8%
≤30d 563 -4.5% -13.6% 60% 39% -8.3%
≤90d 563 -4.5% -13.6% 60% 39% -8.3%
all 563 -4.5% -13.6% 60% 39% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 39% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 35% -17.1%
15% -29.4% 33% -25.1%
20% -36.3% 28% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1029 history records