Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T19:05:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F9 0xf968…e1ec crypto 1276 markets active 18d ago coverage 26d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (116 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$114 (-2%) realized −$114 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate48%606W / 654L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day116.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$189
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$222
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (116 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1217 -5.6% -14.6% 49% 46% -12.6%
≤90d 1260 -6.4% -15.3% 48% 46% -13.2%
all 1260 -6.4% -15.3% 48% 46% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover116.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 46% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 44% -21.5%
15% -30.8% 43% -29.1%
20% -37.6% 41% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$4 · ×0.98 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$114
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses606 / 654
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1260 / 1276
History coverage26d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day116.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1260 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$3 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$3 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$9 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$5 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$8 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$3 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $4 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $0 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 18d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 18d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3130 history records