trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 29% | 0% | -7.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 29% | 0% | -7.8% |
| all | 23 | +39.5% | +26.2% | 57% | 9% | -4.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +26.2% | 9% | -4.0% |
| 10% | +14.1% | 4% | -13.2% |
| 15% | +3.1% | 4% | -21.5% |
| 20% | -7.0% | 4% | -29.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | $29 | $29 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 23 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 22 | $23 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $3 | $0 | +5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $78 | +$8 | +10% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 10 | $79 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 09 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30? | May 07 | $44 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Randy Fine win by 15-20%? | Apr 18 | $3 | +$31 | +953% |
| Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days? | Apr 08 | $45 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 05 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 | Apr 03 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 01 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds? | Apr 01 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 29 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 28? | Mar 25 | $2 | −$2 | -81% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 22? | Mar 24 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Mar 21? | Mar 23 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Albany vs. UMBC | Mar 20 | $14 | −$1 | -9% |
| Stetson vs. Jacksonville | Mar 20 | $13 | +$2 | +14% |