Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:48:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf960…ba50
weather · 1445 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$371 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$367 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,231
Realized−$367
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1262 / 113
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions69
Markets (closed)1375 / 1445
History coverage35d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day96.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 69 History 1375 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$47
7 days+$18
14 days+$25
30 days−$291
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 13? No 96¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$1 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 13? No 96¢ 98¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 13? No 98¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 13? No 98¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C or higher on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 98¢ 98¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 13? No 100¢ 99¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 13? No 100¢ 99¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 12? Jun 13 $23 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 80°F or higher on June 12? Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 12? Jun 13 $23 +$2 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 13 $21 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on June 13? Jun 13 $19 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 13? Jun 13 $22 $0 +0%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $23 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 13 $23 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 100°F or higher on Ju Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on June Jun 12 $23 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 37°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 +$1 +3%
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Galway United FC vs. Dundalk FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on June 12? Jun 12 $6 +$1 +17%
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $235? Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 12 $23 +$2 +7%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 12, 3PM ET? Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on Ju Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Galway United FC vs. Dundalk FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Spread: OC Safi (-1.5) Jun 12 $6 +$1 +21%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 12 $23 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 89% −$180
world 3% +$20
sports 3% +$11
politics 2% −$244
other 2% +$3
crypto 1% +$2
culture 0% +$20
tech 0% −$4
economics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $8 2m
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 13 BUY No 100¢ $23 9m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $23 17m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 80°F or higher on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $10 18m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $25 18m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $22 1h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $19 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $15 1h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $19 1h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $19 1h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $8 1h
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun BUY No 100¢ $15 1h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $22 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $23 2h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $23 2h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $23 2h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $24 2h
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $23 3h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $23 3h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $18 3h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $19 3h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $24 3h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $20 3h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $20 4h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 4h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $23 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 621 -0.1% -9.6% 96% 4% -9.4%
≤30d 1320 -0.3% -9.8% 92% 2% -10.5%
≤90d 1375 -0.3% -9.8% 92% 2% -10.6%
all 1375 -0.3% -9.8% 92% 2% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 2% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -19.1%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.9%
20% -33.5% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,230.88 · official $1,230.88 (match) · 3500 history records