trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | +49.0% | +34.8% | 33% | 33% | -1.1% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +49.0% | +34.8% | 33% | 33% | -1.1% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +49.0% | +34.8% | 33% | 33% | -1.1% |
| all | 20 | +34.1% | +21.3% | 30% | 30% | -36.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +21.3% | 30% | -36.2% |
| 10% | +9.7% | 25% | -42.3% |
| 15% | -0.9% | 25% | -47.9% |
| 20% | -10.6% | 20% | -53.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Yes | 29¢ | 30¢ | $6 | $6 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Norway | 61¢ | 60¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Argentina | 44¢ | 42¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $6 | +$20 | +324% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $33 | −$33 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $6 | +$86 | +1395% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 15 | $30 | −$29 | -98% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $22 | +$23 | +105% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $6 | +$12 | +200% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $6 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $6 | +$3 | +44% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 09 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | Mar 03 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |