Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T01:34:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
F9 0xf944…ef91 crypto 1643 markets active 0h ago coverage 35d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (78 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$14,729 (-32%) realized −$14,729 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate52%975W / 906L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day77.9pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17,042
7 days−$16,129
14 days−$15,735
30 days−$16,904
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,183
sports 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (78 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-25.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 537 -61.8% -65.4% 21% 20% -75.1%
≤30d 1380 -21.4% -28.9% 49% 39% -46.8%
≤90d 1881 -18.1% -25.9% 52% 41% -37.5%
all 1881 -18.1% -25.9% 52% 41% -37.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover77.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.9% 41% -37.5%
10% ← realistic here -33.0% 34% -43.4%
15% -39.5% 30% -48.9%
20% -45.4% 26% -53.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -31% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -18% · $-wt -31% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -7% → late -29% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$34 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.39 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$14,729
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses975 / 906
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1881 / 1643
History coverage35d ⚠
Avg bet$28
Trades / day77.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1881 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 27 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 27 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 27 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 27 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 27 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 27 $325 −$325 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 27 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 27 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 27 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 27 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 27 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 27 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 27 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 27 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 27 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 27 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 27 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 27 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 27 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 27 $39 −$39 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $12 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $16 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $18 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $18 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $18 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $21 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $24 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $42 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $110 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $220 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $81 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records