trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 33% | 33% | -4.6% |
| ≤30d | 59 | -51.1% | -55.8% | 20% | 20% | -39.8% |
| ≤90d | 160 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 34% | 34% | -28.7% |
| all | 462 | -7.5% | -16.3% | 37% | 36% | -24.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -16.3% | 36% | -24.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -24.3% | 36% | -31.9% |
| 15% | -31.6% | 36% | -38.5% |
| 20% | -38.3% | 35% | -44.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $9,478 | $9,777 | +$299 (+3%) |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Spain | 36¢ | 22¢ | $4,680 | $2,795 | −$1,885 (-40%) |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | Boston Red Sox | 42¢ | 47¢ | $1,680 | $1,880 | +$200 (+12%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $1,500 | $1,134 | −$366 (-24%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $495 | $490 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Spain | 34¢ | 8¢ | $1,020 | $255 | −$765 (-75%) |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $90 | $112 | +$22 (+25%) |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5) | Spain | 19¢ | 3¢ | $570 | $90 | −$480 (-84%) |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $60 | $48 | −$12 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $430 | +$1,570 | +365% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $2,527 | +$2,473 | +98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $506 | −$500 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $835 | +$634 | +76% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $871 | −$850 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $247 | −$242 | -98% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $2,787 | −$2,768 | -99% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $1,885 | +$3,115 | +165% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 12 | $3,086 | +$1,914 | +62% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $5,773 | −$5,710 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Jun 10 | $826 | −$810 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) | Jun 10 | $160 | −$156 | -98% |
| New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians | Jun 10 | $1,430 | −$1,400 | -98% |
| Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | Jun 10 | $538 | −$525 | -98% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 10 | $450 | −$440 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | Jun 09 | $395 | +$1,247 | +315% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $5,864 | +$7,536 | +128% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 09 | $1,002 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | Jun 09 | $832 | −$820 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) | Jun 09 | $426 | −$420 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | Jun 09 | $1,120 | −$1,120 | -100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 07 | $1,946 | −$1,914 | -98% |
| Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Jun 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Jun 06 | $601 | −$600 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | Jun 06 | $881 | −$880 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) | Jun 06 | $840 | −$840 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) | Jun 06 | $560 | −$560 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Jun 06 | $1,015 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) | Jun 06 | $513 | −$513 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Jun 05 | $2,237 | −$2,200 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Jun 04 | $912 | −$900 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Jun 04 | $855 | −$840 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) | Jun 03 | $804 | −$800 | -100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi | Jun 03 | $1,508 | +$2,492 | +165% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli | Jun 03 | $3,745 | −$3,689 | -98% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider | Jun 03 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca | Jun 02 | $3,294 | −$3,245 | -98% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 02 | $1,457 | +$1,043 | +72% |
| Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5) | Jun 02 | $1,070 | −$1,060 | -99% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca | Jun 01 | $2,168 | +$2,041 | +94% |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 31 | $1,916 | −$1,909 | -100% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $1,762 | +$1,238 | +70% |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | May 24 | $901 | −$880 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $1,131 | −$1,110 | -98% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5) | May 23 | $91 | −$89 | -98% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 22 | $314 | −$310 | -99% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 22 | $3,253 | −$3,220 | -99% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | May 20 | $909 | −$903 | -99% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | May 19 | $497 | −$490 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 19 | $1,010 | −$990 | -98% |